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Dustin James was initially charged with two counts of distribution of a controlled substance, one count of possession with intent to manufacture a controlled substance, and one count of possession with intent to distribute a controlled substance, all but the last of which were dismissed before trial. He was acquitted of the charged offense of possession with intent to distribute methamphetamine but was convicted of the lesser offense of possession. He was sentenced to three years of intensive supervised probation. 3 ¶4 At trial, the People presented evidence to the effect that the defendant was present at a house upon which the police executed a search warrant. With regard to the lesser offense of possession, of which the defendant was actually convicted, the evidence indicated that the police also searched a car the defendant had been seen driving and found a handgun in the console and a backpack in the back seat containing the defendant’s identification and twenty grams of methamphetamine. An investigator testified that the defendant told him, after being Mirandized, that the handgun and everything inside the backpack were his. The defense rested without presenting evidence and did not offer a theory of the case instruction. ¶5 Shortly after the jury retired to deliberate, the district court realized that it had not discharged the alternate and immediately called him back. In response to questioning by the court and counsel, the alternate indicated that during the approximately ten minutes he was in the jury room, he had agreed to serve as the foreperson and the jury had taken a preliminary vote to get the sense of the group. He also indicated that the jury was just beginning to discuss the elements of the charges when he was recalled by the judge. ¶6 After allowing the alternate to leave, the court also recalled the entire jury to the courtroom, explained its mistake in not stopping the alternate from retiring with the other jurors, and instructed the jurors to continue on with their deliberations, uninfluenced by anything the alternate had said or done. It then entertained and denied the defendant’s motion for either dismissal or a mistrial. After accepting the jury’s verdicts and determining that neither counsel wished to have the jury polled, the 4 court itself queried each juror individually whether his or her verdict was uninfluenced by any discussion with the alternate. Each juror answered that the alternate had not influenced his or her verdict. ¶7 On direct appeal, the court of appeals affirmed, finding, as relevant to the issue before this court, that although the defendant had a constitutional right to a jury of twelve and a verdict reached in secrecy, and although those rights were implicated by the presence of the alternate, in this case the error was nevertheless harmless beyond a reasonable doubt. In reaching this conclusion, the intermediate appellate court reasoned that the district court’s instruction to the jurors that they were not to be influenced by the alternate’s words or actions, in conjunction with the individual statements of the jurors affirming that their verdicts were in fact not influenced by the alternate, eliminated any reasonable possibility that the error affected the verdict. ¶8 We granted the defendant’s petition for a writ of certiorari on the question whether the court of appeals erred in finding the alternate’s participation harmless. II. ¶9 Some thirty-five years ago, in People v. Boulies, 690 P.2d 1253 (Colo. 1984), this court addressed, for the first and only time in a criminal prosecution, the effect of the presence of an alternate juror in the jury room during deliberations. In that case, the trial court had instructed the jury that the alternate, or “thirteenth juror,” would be permitted to go in and listen but not voice her opinion or vote unless a vacancy occurred among the remaining twelve jurors. Id. at 1254–55. No objection was registered at that time or upon return of the jury’s guilty verdict, but by motion for 5 postconviction relief, pursuant to Crim. P. 35(c), the defendant later sought a new trial on the ground, among others, that an unauthorized person was present in the jury room during deliberations. Id. at 1254. The district court agreed and ordered the defendant entitled to a new trial. Id. at 1255. ¶10 On appeal by the People, this court found, in reliance on a state constitutional right to a twelve-person jury and existing United States Supreme Court jurisprudence concerning a defendant’s entitlement to a jury verdict reached in secret, that the presence of an alternate during jury deliberations sufficiently impinged upon the defendant’s constitutional right to a jury trial to create a presumption of prejudice that, if unrebutted, would require reversal. Id. at 1255–56 (citing Colo. Const. art. II, § 23 and Clark v. United States, 289 U.S. 1, 13 (1933)). More specifically, we indicated that a prima facie showing by the defendant of the presence of an alternate at deliberations would shift the burden to the prosecution either to prove by a preponderance of the evidence that the alternate was not present at all or, barring that, to prove that the error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt. Id. at 1256 & n.5. Apart from referencing the limitations imposed by CRE 606 on any inquiry into the validity of a verdict, and cases from other jurisdictions in which the temporary presence of an alternate before deliberations had begun did not invalidate the verdict, we offered no other guidance concerning proof of harmlessness. See id. at 1256 n.5. ¶11 Between that time and this, the law governing the nature and remedies for error occurring in the trial process in general, and the presence and use of alternate jurors in particular, has undergone considerable development in the jurisprudence of both this 6 court and the United States Supreme Court. In People v. Burnette, 775 P.2d 583, 584 (Colo. 1989), announced six years after our opinion in Boulies, we were faced with the related question of substituting an alternate for an incapacitated juror after deliberations had already begun. Finding that the failure to dismiss the alternate juror when the jury retired to deliberate in that case violated the dictate of Crim. P. 24(e), we then considered “the legal effect of the verdict of the improperly constituted jury,” id. at 587, and concluded that the presumption of prejudice arising from the mere presence of an alternate, which we had identified in Boulies, must apply “with at least equal force” to the unauthorized participation of an alternate juror, id. at 590. In Burnette, however, we held that this presumption of prejudice could be overcome by, but only by, a showing that the trial court took extraordinary precautions to ensure that the defendant would not be prejudiced and a showing that under the circumstances of the particular case, those precautions proved adequate to achieve that result. Id. ¶12 Although we found, in the absence of any such precautions in Burnette, that the presumption was not overcome, id., some ten years later, in Carrillo v. People, we came to the opposite conclusion in a case in which an alternate was substituted for one of the sitting jurors after the jury had actually returned a verdict. 974 P.2d 478, 493 (Colo. 1999). Where, upon being polled, one of the jurors in Carrillo disagreed with the verdicts as announced by the foreman and, when it became apparent that he was hard of hearing and had not heard all of the testimony or discussion in deliberations, was replaced by the alternate, the trial court instructed the second, reconstituted jury to begin its deliberations anew, uninfluenced by any earlier discussions. Id. at 482–83. In 7 Carrillo, we found it unnecessary to resolve ambiguities in the rule and statute governing the dismissal of alternate jurors, both of which had been amended since Burnette, instead attributing to Burnette the proposition that in any event mid deliberation replacement of a juror, which necessarily entails the alternate’s presence, raises a presumption of prejudice to the defendant’s right to a fair trial. Id. at 488. Notwithstanding acknowledging such a presumption, however, we found in Carrillo, unlike in Burnette, that the court’s instruction to the “second jury” and “the circumstances of the case” were sufficient to overcome the presumption and uphold the guilty verdict. Id. at 492–93. ¶13 Although in Boulies we relied largely on federal authority concerning an entitlement to jury secrecy in concluding that the mere presence of an alternate during jury deliberations sufficiently impinges on a defendant’s constitutional right to a jury trial to create a presumption of prejudice, in doing so we did not have the benefit of the Supreme Court’s subsequent analysis in United States v. Olano, 507 U.S. 725 (1993). In Olano, decided after both Boulies and Burnette, the Supreme Court considered the question posed by the presence of an alternate in the jury room during deliberations and held that despite being a clear violation of Rule 24 of the Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure, which at that time required dismissal of alternates when the jury retired, the mere presence of an alternate should not be presumed prejudicial. Id. at 741. Acknowledging the very authority upon which we had earlier relied to the contrary, the Supreme Court held that “the primary if not exclusive purpose of jury privacy and secrecy is to protect the jury’s deliberations from improper influence.” Id. at 737–38. 8 Also accepting, without deciding, that there might conceivably be cases in which an improper influence, or “intrusion,” on jury deliberations should be presumed prejudicial, the Supreme Court expressly found that the mere presence of an alternate— which it equated with the presence in the jury room of an unexamined book that had not been admitted into evidence—was not one of them. Id. at 739. ¶14 Rather, the Supreme Court explained that there were two ways in which the presence of alternate jurors during deliberations might be prejudicial: either because the alternate actually participated in the deliberations or because the alternate’s presence exerted a chilling effect. Id. Where the defendants in that case had failed to object to the trial court’s instruction permitting the alternate to be present without deliberating, much like Boulies, and where the defendants had made no specific showing that the alternate either participated in or chilled the jury’s deliberations, or even requested a hearing to do so, the Supreme Court found it unnecessary to further consider precisely what kind of showing of outside influence would be required to establish prejudice. Id. at 739–40. Similarly, the Court expressly found it unnecessary to consider whether or how the government could have met its burden of showing an absence of prejudice had there been a timely objection. Id. at 741. ¶15 Finally, since the time of our prior analyses of the presence and participation of alternate jurors during deliberations, the jurisprudence of both this court and the United States Supreme Court concerning the nature and effect of errors committed in the trial process has undergone substantial refinement. As we indicated in People v. Novotny, with regard to the proper remedy for the erroneous denial of challenges to the 9 qualifications of prospective jurors, we have largely come to accept the structural error/trial error dichotomy developed by the Supreme Court, even with regard to matters other than those involving federal constitutional error. 2014 CO 18, ¶ 21, 320 P.3d 1194, 1201. It is now established that errors in the trial process can require reversal in the absence of some determination of their likely impact on the outcome of the particular proceedings at issue only if they can be categorized as structural error, a limited class of errors described by the Court as including errors concerning rights protecting some interest other than the defendant’s interest in not being erroneously convicted; errors the effects of which are too hard to measure, in the sense of being necessarily unquantifiable and indeterminate; and errors that can be said to always result in fundamental unfairness. See Weaver v. Massachusetts, __ U.S. __, 137 S. Ct. 1899, 1908 (2017); United States v. Gonzalez-Lopez, 548 U.S. 140, 148, 150, 157 (2006). III. ¶16 Without regard for the merits of our ultimate decision to remand in Boulies, it is now apparent not only that our former classifications of error have undergone both substantial and terminological refinements over the intervening period, but also that our reliance on federal case law for the proposition that an error of constitutional magnitude is committed by the mere presence of an alternate juror in the jury room during deliberations has turned out to have been mistaken. See Olano, 507 U.S. at 739. Although the presence of an alternate during deliberations may violate a rule or statute governing jury trials, the Supreme Court made clear in Olano that the interest it had previously identified in jury privacy and secrecy is to protect the jury’s deliberations 10 from “outside influence,” or “intrusion,” which, if actually established, must then be analyzed for prejudicial impact. Id. at 737–38. In Olano, the Court found only that the alternate’s presence amounted to a violation of Rule 24, and it expressly held that unless the alternate either participated in the jury’s deliberations or chilled deliberation by the regular jurors, his presence could not have been prejudicial. Id. at 737, 739. ¶17 Because the defense had not registered an objection when the trial court in Olano permitted the alternate to retire with the other jurors, the Supreme Court considered the effect of the error only as to the standard for plain error. Id. at 734. It therefore placed the burden of establishing prejudice on the defendant and, in the absence of any evidence of participation, found it unnecessary to address, other than by referencing its outside-influence jurisprudence, the effect actual participation by the alternate might have had on the question of prejudice. Id. In distinguishing harmless from plain error, however, the Court made clear that if the error had not been forfeited by failing to make contemporaneous objection, the burden of persuasion to demonstrate that no substantial right of the defendant had been adversely impacted by an outside influence on the jury would have fallen on the government. Id. ¶18 Apart from preserved federal constitutional error raised on direct appeal, the harmlessness of which must, according to Supreme Court fiat, be proved beyond a reasonable doubt by the government, see Brecht v. Abrahamson, 507 U.S. 619, 630 (1993); Chapman v. California, 386 U.S. 18, 24 (1967), we have often not placed on either party a specific burden to persuade an appellate court of harmfulness or harmlessness and have on occasion actually indicated that the defendant bore a burden to prove 11 harm or prejudice. With regard to a burden of persuasion, as distinguished from producing an adequate record, we have generally not acknowledged at all the possibility of equipoise in an appellate court’s assessment of the likely impact of error on the proceeding in question. See, e.g., Novotny, ¶¶ 19–20, 320 P.3d at 1200–01; Hagos v. People, 2012 CO 63, ¶ 12, 288 P.3d 116, 119; Krutsinger v. People, 219 P.3d 1054, 1058 (Colo. 2009). In Olano, however, the Supreme Court engaged in a more nuanced interpretation of the language of Rule 52(a) of the Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure, which is identical to Crim. P. 52(a), emphasizing that the particular phraseology of the rule “precludes error correction only if the error ‘does not affect substantial rights,’” 507 U.S. at 735 (quoting Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(a)) (emphasis added in Olano), leading it to conclude that the government must bear the burden of persuasion with regard to the harmlessness of all preserved error. Id. at 737, 741. For consistency in application by the appellate courts of this jurisdiction, and largely for the reasons we expressed in Novotny for continuing to conform the analysis of error in this jurisdiction to the structural/trial error dichotomy developed by the Supreme Court, we find it worthwhile in otherwise relying on the distinctions articulated in Olano to openly construe Crim. P. 52(a) in conformity with the Supreme Court’s understanding of Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(a). ¶19 It is clear that in Olano the Supreme Court did not treat the presence of an alternate, or even an actual intrusion in the form of participation or some chilling conduct by the alternate, which would call for an analysis of prejudicial impact, as error defying harmless error analysis, or “structural error.” 507 U.S. at 739. Similarly, the 12 Court made clear that the alternate’s mere presence did not violate jury privacy or secrecy, and by limiting its analysis to the violation of Rule 24 and emphasizing the evaluation of intrusions for prejudicial impact, strongly implied that a violation of constitutional magnitude would occur only upon the demonstration of an impactful intrusion. Id. at 739–40; cf. Strickland v. Washington, 466 U.S. 668, 687, 694 (1984) (holding that a deprivation of the constitutional right to effective assistance does not occur whenever representation is deficient but only where attorney deficiencies result in a reasonable probability of adversely affecting the outcome of the proceeding in question). In this case, however, whether the limited “intrusion” by the alternate is more properly addressed as constitutional error, requiring the People to prove beyond a reasonable doubt the absence of any reasonable possibility that the error might have contributed to the conviction, or non-constitutional error, requiring the People to prove only that the error did not substantially influence the verdict or affect the fairness of the trial proceedings, it was clearly harmless. ¶20 Whatever may be the continued vitality of our juror-substitution line of cases in light of these subsequent developments, we do not understand the considerations expressed in those cases to govern the harmfulness of an “intrusion” by an alternate upon the deliberations of a properly constituted jury. Like all errors in the trial process that do not amount to structural error, whether an intrusion or outside influence on jury deliberations should be disregarded as harmless must depend upon an evaluation of the likelihood that the outcome of the proceedings in question was adversely affected by the error. Novotny, ¶ 20, 320 P.3d at 1201. Although it is generally forbidden to 13 inquire into mental processes in connection with the jury’s deliberations, it is not forbidden to inquire whether an outside influence was brought to bear upon any juror. CRE 606(b). As with other trial error, the relevant question concerning the harmlessness of any outside influence on the jury is whether there exists a reasonable possibility that the extraneous contact or influence would have adversely affected the verdict of a typical jury. See People v. Wadle, 97 P.3d 932, 935 (Colo. 2004); Wiser v. People, 732 P.2d 1139, 1142 (Colo. 1987). ¶21 In this case, the evidence relative to the only offense of which the defendant was convicted consisted of the discovery by police of a backpack containing the defendant’s identification and twenty grams of methamphetamine, in a car the defendant had been seen driving, and the fact that the defendant, after being Mirandized, admitted that the illegal drugs were his. Aside from cross-examination about the extent of police investigation and a general denial, the defendant offered no defense or theory to dispute his possession of the illegal drugs. Although the alternate was inadvertently permitted to retire with the jury, he was recalled within some ten minutes and testified in response to questioning by both counsel and the court that while the jurors were getting settled he had acceded to the request of some, although without formal vote, to serve as foreperson; that a preliminary vote was taken to get the sense of the group; and that discussion of the charges was just beginning when he was recalled. Under these 14 circumstances, we are confident beyond a reasonable doubt that the error was harmless.1